Latest insights
5 June 2023
Forex Trading: Oil Adds Uncertainty to the Market Landscape
Markets have been on a roller coaster ride. Here are our latest forex trading ideas.
2 June 2023
Are dividend-paying oil stocks a bargain yet?
A slump in the price of oil has seen oil stocks diverge from the pack in recent weeks. While the Nasdaq and S&P 500 have been enjoying a healthy upswing, energy stocks - even those with good dividend yields are out of favour. Could that be about to change?
Stocks
2 June 2023
Are dividend-paying oil stocks a bargain yet?
A slump in the price of oil has seen oil stocks diverge from the pack in recent weeks. While the Nasdaq and S&P 500 have been enjoying a healthy upswing, energy stocks - even those with good dividend yields are out of favour. Could that be about to change?
24 May 2023
Are Low US Equity Risk Premiums Really Bearish for Stocks?
US equity risk premium has reached its lowest point in a decade, reminiscent of the period just before the Global Financial Crisis. That doesn’t sound good, but are things different this time?
Crypto
23 December 2022
Does the Crypto Crash Resume 2023 or is a Reversal Coming?
The crypto bear market this year has so far shown little sign of ending, especially with the collapse of FTX. Does it get worse, or will 2023 bring some green shoots?
21 November 2022
FTX — destroying trust in what is supposed to be trustless
After a tumultuous few days FTX looks to be facing imminent collapse, the poster boy of the crypto world has almost overnight become the pariah, while almost single handedly setting the industry back years by destroying trust in what is trustless. It is worth highlighting a key point in the Satoshi Nakamoto white paper — “making payments over a communications channel without a trusted party”. There is nothing trustless in a centralised exchange, history seems to be repeating itself.
Macro
24 May 2023
Are Low US Equity Risk Premiums Really Bearish for Stocks?
US equity risk premium has reached its lowest point in a decade, reminiscent of the period just before the Global Financial Crisis. That doesn’t sound good, but are things different this time?
20 April 2023
With UK inflation still over 10%, where next for GBPUSD?
The pound is the best-performing G10 currency this year, up around 3% against the US dollar since the start of the year, and it reached a 10-month high last week. In light of this week’s wage and inflation data, could the rally in Sterling continue?
Asset allocation
24 May 2023
Are Low US Equity Risk Premiums Really Bearish for Stocks?
US equity risk premium has reached its lowest point in a decade, reminiscent of the period just before the Global Financial Crisis. That doesn’t sound good, but are things different this time?
26 April 2023
Is India the biggest growth opportunity for tech giants?
According to some estimates, India is poised on the precipice of a tech explosion many are comparing to their own Industrial Revolution.
LiveWire
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16 minutes ago
S&P 500 - technicals signal ‘overbought’ $SPY $QQQ
Bespoke Investment Group's graph below shows the S&P 500 closing 2.47 standard deviations above its 50-day moving average to fall into the “extreme category.” Source: Bloomberg
22 hours ago
Oil rallies after Saudi Arabia cuts. $USO $XLE $SPY #trading
It’s fascinating to see oil rally after discussed it just last week. But what exactly is happening?
Oil first jumped on Friday and now this morning it’s continuing to do so. Behind the surge, at its Sunday OPEC+ meeting, Saudi Arabia pledged to cut production again. This time by an extra 1 million barrel-a-day of supply.
Clearly, the Saudis are trying to stabilise oil markets, despite Russia not playing along. Will it be enough? Most likely it could be for now to stabilise markets, but it doesn’t mean oil will soar back to its October 2022 levels either.
4 days ago
US stocks gain amid debt-ceiling deal.
US stocks continued to advance amid debt-ceiling resolution and AI enthusiasm.
5 days ago
WTI Crude oil starts month on strong note $USO $XLE #oil #trading
Oil has started the month of June on a strong note. It could well rebound in the summer months as demand picks up. Recent price action has been led by piling up stockpiles and a divide within OPEC members, but traders may want to show patience and not give up on upside potential just yet.
6 days ago
#Swiss #franc launches strong rebound vs #dollar. $DXY $SPY #fx #trading
Swiss retail sales in May disappointed strongly coming in at -3.7% versus expectations of -1.4%, suggesting Swiss consumption is much softer than previously thought. This is the weakest number since a year ago when retail sales also fell before rebounding in the summer month. Today's data gave a reason for traders to ditch the Swiss franc, which continued to weaken against the dollar. The next leg higher could take the USD/CHF to around 0.94. This is consistent with our trade idea, in which we wrote about in yesterday's weekly forex ideas.
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LiveWire
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16 minutes ago
S&P 500 - technicals signal ‘overbought’ $SPY $QQQ
Bespoke Investment Group's graph below shows the S&P 500 closing 2.47 standard deviations above its 50-day moving average to fall into the “extreme category.” Source: Bloomberg
22 hours ago
Oil rallies after Saudi Arabia cuts. $USO $XLE $SPY #trading
It’s fascinating to see oil rally after discussed it just last week. But what exactly is happening?
Oil first jumped on Friday and now this morning it’s continuing to do so. Behind the surge, at its Sunday OPEC+ meeting, Saudi Arabia pledged to cut production again. This time by an extra 1 million barrel-a-day of supply.
Clearly, the Saudis are trying to stabilise oil markets, despite Russia not playing along. Will it be enough? Most likely it could be for now to stabilise markets, but it doesn’t mean oil will soar back to its October 2022 levels either.
