Market Insights

Latest insights

Is gold still attractive?

While rate hikes can create headwinds for gold, history shows the impact may be limited. In fact, the past two gold bull cycles began with the Fed raising interest rates (2004, 2015).

Is gold still attractive?

Bottom fishing stocks in 2022: Genomics

Major stock indices might be near record highs, held up by heavyweights like Apple, but there are parts of the market nursing huge losses. Today we explore whether it’s time to go bottom fishing in genomics stocks.

Bottom fishing stocks in 2022: Genomics

Stocks

Bottom fishing stocks in 2022: Genomics

Major stock indices might be near record highs, held up by heavyweights like Apple, but there are parts of the market nursing huge losses. Today we explore whether it’s time to go bottom fishing in genomics stocks.

Bottom fishing stocks in 2022: Genomics

Buybacks and 4 more criterias to pick stocks with ‘margin of safety’

Stock buybacks, popularity, and a few valuation criteria can help select stocks with an attractive risk/reward ratio and appealing downside protection.

Buybacks and 4 more criterias to pick stocks with ‘margin of safety’

Crypto

Will Bitcoin keep rising?

With a roller-coaster 2021, Bitcoin remains one of the most mysterious assets on the market. Will it keep rising or are cracks starting to appear?

Will Bitcoin keep rising?

Understanding bitcoin market cycles

Bitcoin goes up and down without end. What are the causes of this and is there a way to predict these movements? We'll find out in this article.

Understanding bitcoin market cycles

Macro

The euro turns 20. What's next?

The euro turned 20 years old on January 1st, much to the relief of the citizens who adopted it, but to the surprise of some economists who’ve been predicting a euro break-up for years. So what’s next for the euro?

The euro turns 20. What's next?

MonthlyFlow - January 2022

The year has already started with a bang, so here is a look at the top 10 questions we have been getting for the coming 12 months While we remain constructive for the year and expect risk assets to continue to do well, there is clearly a Wall of Worry for investors to climb as we begin 2022

MonthlyFlow - January 2022

Asset allocation

MonthlyFlow - January 2022

The year has already started with a bang, so here is a look at the top 10 questions we have been getting for the coming 12 months While we remain constructive for the year and expect risk assets to continue to do well, there is clearly a Wall of Worry for investors to climb as we begin 2022

MonthlyFlow - January 2022

2021 in Review

Milestones and challenges that are likely to spill over into 2022

2021 in Review
LiveWire

35 minutes ago

Activision to be acquired by Microsoft $ATVI $MSFT #acquisition

Microsoft announced it will buy the video game giant Activision Blizzard in a USD68.7 billion all-cash deal. The videogame maker, known for its popular game "Call of Duty", had a stellar performance until February of last year. But the company's share price dropped as much as 45% as it got hit by allegations of sexual harassments and misconduct. This morning, shares of Activision jumped 38% in pre-market before being halted. In contrast, Microsoft shares are down more than 2%, as investors are judging the deal too expensive.

5 hours ago

#Yields rise, causing #markets to pull-back. #stocks #rates #trading

Yields on US 10-year Treasury Note is causing havoc on markets, up 4-5bp at 1.83%, after retreating from 1.857% at one point. Investors are expecting interest rates to rise and its putting pressure on the yield curve. The rise in borrowing costs is pressuring down stocks globally this morning. The Nasdaq is lower by 1.7% and the S&P 500 by 1%. Europe's Stoxx 500 is down by 1%. As we are entering earnings season, stocks are particularly sensitive as companies resume buybacks only after earnings are out. More visibility from central banks would be welcomed by markets and possibly lower the volatility. 

23 hours ago

Ruble victim of geopolitical tensions #USDRUB #Russia #Ukraine

The ruble is getting hit hard as negotiations between US and Russia seem to go nowhere. The Ruble is losing steam despite rising oil prices. Markets are pricing rising odds of near term economic sanctions that will further weaken the Russian economy. Recent sanction fears seem to have interrupted the great rally ruble enjoyed last year. Data from options traders indicate high level of bearishness.

1 day ago

China cuts rates in response to slowing growth #macro #markets #China

China's economy expanded 1.6% on a quarterly basis in 4th quarter of 2021. However, retail sales disappointed as they increased 1.7% year on year in December, versus the 3.8% expected, and down from 3.9% growth in November. With prices stable, China's central bank, the PBOC is shifting the focus to boosting economic growth. It responded with a rate cut this morning, lowering the interest rate on around USD110.2 billion worth of 1-year medium-term lending facility loans to some financial institutions by 10bp to 2.85%. The central bank also lowered borrowing costs of 7-day repos by 10bp to 2.10%. We believe it is likely the POBC will continue to act to support its economic growth, as it attempts to manage a soft-landing for its cooling property market. China's CSI 300 closed 0.86% higher today, but it is still down 13.6% from where it was a year ago. 

4 days ago

$JPM falling on earnings miss #banks #earnings #trading

JPMorgan misses revenues estimates and reports a fall in earnings per share by 12% to USD 3.33. Return on tangible Equity stood at 19%, while return of common equity decreased to 16%. Despite reporting "solid results", market didn't appreciate higher operating expenses and a lower efficiency ratio. The stock dropped as much as 4%, and is trading now at USD163 in premarket trading.

Technology

Bottom fishing stocks in 2022: Genomics

Major stock indices might be near record highs, held up by heavyweights like Apple, but there are parts of the market nursing huge losses. Today we explore whether it’s time to go bottom fishing in genomics stocks. ...

Bottom fishing stocks in 2022: Genomics

Shopify takes the merchant’s stand

Shopify’s business model puts the merchant first, not the customer, unlike Amazon. This positions Shopify uniquely as a buoy for retailers to stay afloat against the rising tides of price-cutting models seen in ...

Shopify takes the merchant’s stand

How to benefit from the cloud computing boom?

Cloud intelligence is at the heart of modern technologies. What are the top cloud trends and how can investors position to benefit from these trends?

How to benefit from the cloud computing boom?

Commodities

Is gold still attractive?

While rate hikes can create headwinds for gold, history shows the impact may be limited. In fact, the past two gold bull cycles began with the Fed raising interest rates (2004, 2015).

Is gold still attractive?

European LNG prices turn parabolic. What happened?

European liquid natural gas (LNG) prices are back at record highs over the threat of supply disruptions from Russia as the country sabre rattles with Ukraine and NATO.

European LNG prices turn parabolic. What happened?

Oil Price Outlook: Inflation Poses a Risk to Energy Demand

The timing of the current pullback in oil, just as US inflation hit a 30-year high might be instructive. Is high inflation starting to pose a risk to the demand outlook for oil? 

Oil Price Outlook: Inflation Poses a Risk to Energy Demand

Forex

The euro turns 20. What's next?

The euro turned 20 years old on January 1st, much to the relief of the citizens who adopted it, but to the surprise of some economists who’ve been predicting a euro break-up for years. So what’s next for the euro?

The euro turns 20. What's next?

GBP Outlook: How Far Will the BOE Really Go?

GBP/USD has rebounded off a one-year low, powered by short-covering in the British pound after a surprise Bank of England rate hike in December. But will the Omicron covid variant and PM Boris Johnson scandals put a crimp in the rise?

GBP Outlook: How Far Will the BOE Really Go?

EM Currencies: Turkish Lira Washes Out While CEE Hike Rates

The Turkish lira has been plummeting, with its exchange rate vs the dollar reaching over 10 for the first time. The lira has been a drag on an EMFX space that otherwise held up well with the Federal Reserve set to tighten policy.

EM Currencies: Turkish Lira Washes Out While CEE Hike Rates
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Bonds

Jerome Powell’s 2nd term: Fade the Hawks?

The reappointment of Fed Chair Jerome Powell sparked some unexpected volatility across markets, led by a jump in Treasury yields. But should we really expect Jay to be that hawkish?

Jerome Powell’s 2nd term: Fade the Hawks?

Did September kill the 60/40 portfolio? – Asset Allocation

While investing 60% in equities and 40% in bonds was a safe play for decades, this strategy has faced some obstacles in recent weeks. But should we forget decades of results or just hold steady and look through the noise? Are there ways to ...

Did September kill the 60/40 portfolio? – Asset Allocation

Chinese bonds find new acceptance in all 3 world bond indices

China is starting to compete for foreign capital inflows. With high quality bonds, other nation’s debt might lose their shine. Napoleon was right: China is awakening, and the world trembles.

Chinese bonds find new acceptance in all 3 world bond indices

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LiveWire

35 minutes ago

Activision to be acquired by Microsoft $ATVI $MSFT #acquisition

Microsoft announced it will buy the video game giant Activision Blizzard in a USD68.7 billion all-cash deal. The videogame maker, known for its popular game "Call of Duty", had a stellar performance until February of last year. But the company's share price dropped as much as 45% as it got hit by allegations of sexual harassments and misconduct. This morning, shares of Activision jumped 38% in pre-market before being halted. In contrast, Microsoft shares are down more than 2%, as investors are judging the deal too expensive.

5 hours ago

#Yields rise, causing #markets to pull-back. #stocks #rates #trading

Yields on US 10-year Treasury Note is causing havoc on markets, up 4-5bp at 1.83%, after retreating from 1.857% at one point. Investors are expecting interest rates to rise and its putting pressure on the yield curve. The rise in borrowing costs is pressuring down stocks globally this morning. The Nasdaq is lower by 1.7% and the S&P 500 by 1%. Europe's Stoxx 500 is down by 1%. As we are entering earnings season, stocks are particularly sensitive as companies resume buybacks only after earnings are out. More visibility from central banks would be welcomed by markets and possibly lower the volatility. 

23 hours ago

Ruble victim of geopolitical tensions #USDRUB #Russia #Ukraine

The ruble is getting hit hard as negotiations between US and Russia seem to go nowhere. The Ruble is losing steam despite rising oil prices. Markets are pricing rising odds of near term economic sanctions that will further weaken the Russian economy. Recent sanction fears seem to have interrupted the great rally ruble enjoyed last year. Data from options traders indicate high level of bearishness.